As an experienced economist, Taylor St. Germain provides consulting services for small businesses, trade associations, and Fortune 500 companies across a spectrum of industries. Taylor specializes in forecasting at both the market and company levels and is a key contributor to maintaining ITR Economics’ forecast accuracy rating of 94.7%.

His dynamic personality and extensive knowledge of economic trends and their business relevance are highly valued by clients and colleagues alike.

Taylor spent time in the tech industry providing market intelligence to electronics OEMs, semiconductor companies, and component manufacturers. In his five years with ITR Economics, he has worked with various distributors, manufacturers, and producers, helping each client navigate the business cycle and optimize their corporate planning strategy. Taylor has also spent several years in Texas furthering his research in the industrial sector, with a specific focus on oil and gas.

Taylor earned his bachelor’s degree in statistics from the University of Vermont and is finishing a master’s degree in applied economics at Southern New Hampshire University. He has been featured in OEM Magazine and on the Fab Lab and Wealth Formula podcasts.

The economy is returning to normal, as defined by trends and behaviors that no longer overtly reflect echoes of COVID, the resulting massive stimulation, and subsequent monetary policy tightening. This means that our system of leading indicators is providing us with more clarity than we have experienced since 2020. That helps a great deal when mapping out 2026. Overlaid on top of that return to normalcy are the significant economic policy changes made by the new presidential administration and Congress. All the above will be analyzed so you may see the future first. Improved clarity in the leading indicators suggests improved timing analysis of different markets: leading (e.g. residential housing), coincident (e.g. GDP, Total Industrial Production, Wholesale Trade, and Retail Sales), and lagging markets (e.g. nonresidential construction, wages, interest rates). The presentation will cover markets specific to the audience along with inflation, interest rates, risks, upside potential, and ITR Economics’ extended outlook for the 2030s where appropriate.